Cricket · resolved market
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7557f7ac41736a4d3eb2207328a082db83235ce43cc851589e30830c949054cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Welsh Fireof Manchester Super Giants, Welsh Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c7e…f896backed Welsh Fire | 74c | 10,442$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Manchester Super Giants | 15c | 5,671$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.84 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Manchester Super Giants | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Welsh Fire | 43c | 3,574$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Welsh Fire | 51c | 2,387$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.89 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Manchester Super Giants | 1c | 2,084$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28a3backed Manchester Super Giants | 1c | 1,875$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Manchester Super Giants | 57c | 1,533$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.82 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Welsh Fire | 61c | 1,500$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Manchester Super Giants | 10c | 1,436$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manchester Super Giants | 12c | 1,433$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Manchester Super Giants | 57c | 1,356$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.99 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Manchester Super Giants | 49c | 1,277$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.46 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…a5ffbacked Manchester Super Giants | 45c | 1,110$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Welsh Fire | 43c | 1,050$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.48 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…90d5backed Manchester Super Giants | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Manchester Super Giants | 61c | 991.11$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.28 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Welsh Fire | 66c | 875.48$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.11 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Welsh Fire | 52c | 862.28$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Manchester Super Giants | 32c | 624.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…c73fbacked Manchester Super Giants | 31c | 610.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.08 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Welsh Fire | 73c | 598.77$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…915cbacked Manchester Super Giants | 31c | 532.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Manchester Super Giants | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Manchester Super Giants | 6c | 401.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Manchester Super Giants | 60c | 366.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Welsh Fire | 37c | 358.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Welsh Fire | 37c | 312.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…9da2backed Manchester Super Giants | 6c | 305.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Manchester Super Giants | 4c | 281.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Manchester Super Giants | 12c | 207.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Welsh Fire | 45c | 205$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Manchester Super Giants | 53c | 202.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Manchester Super Giants | 5c | 202.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Manchester Super Giants | 38c | 200.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Manchester Super Giants | 12c | 182$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Welsh Fire | 62c | 164.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Welsh Fire | 62c | 145.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Welsh Fire | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Welsh Fire | 76c | 138.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Welsh Fire | 79c | 132.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Welsh Fire | 80c | 131.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Welsh Fire | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Welsh Fire | 61c | 128.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Welsh Fire | 66c | 126.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Manchester Super Giants | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Welsh Fire | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…fecfbacked Manchester Super Giants | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…b754backed Manchester Super Giants | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Welsh Fire | 46c | 94.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Welsh Fire | 62c | 94.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Manchester Super Giants | 27c | 92.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Welsh Fire | 69c | 92.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Welsh Fire | 65c | 77.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Welsh Fire | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Welsh Fire | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Welsh Fire | 39c | 62.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Welsh Fire | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Welsh Fire | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Welsh Fire | 42c | 59.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Welsh Fire | 75c | 57.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Manchester Super Giants | 57c | 56.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Manchester Super Giants | 58c | 53.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…127cbacked Manchester Super Giants | 60c | 38.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Welsh Fire | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Welsh Fire | 45c | 33.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Welsh Fire | 43c | 28.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Welsh Fire | 43c | 28.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Manchester Super Giants | 47c | 26.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Manchester Super Giants | 54c | 25.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…1a13backed Welsh Fire | 69c | 25.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…c7c8backed Welsh Fire | 45c | 23.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Manchester Super Giants | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Welsh Fire | 72c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Welsh Fire | 72c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.