TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e26…915c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quebec City: James Watt vs Ugo Blanchetbacked James Watt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warsaw: Martyna Kubka vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+207.3%+$119.23
Istanbul 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+205.2%+$117.13
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Hagen: Maxim Mrva vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.14
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.37
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Lexington: Ozan Baris vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Gironbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.71
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Belluccibacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$44.61
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.83
National Bank Open: Janice Tjen vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.76
National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Emerson Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$14.88
National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$12.42
National Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crossbacked Kayla Cross · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$14.51
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$30.16
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
National Bank Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.77
National Bank Open: Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebovbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.02
Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$5.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.