Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x610e5b3790f5a69979c30fe286d12ed0a512d0cacf35d11b3b6b6f10a3e7028e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $735,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Paul | 12c | 170,930$20,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,509.52 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Paul | 2c | 99,329$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.63 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Paul | 11c | 38,684$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Paul | 11c | 20,662$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.83 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Paul | 13c | 18,812$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.26 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Paul | 8c | 15,854$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.29 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paul | 13c | 14,878$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Paul | 10c | 14,102$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paul | 1c | 7,484$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Paul | 11c | 6,035$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.83 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…3927backed Paul | 11c | 5,500$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Paul | 1c | 5,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Paul | 2c | 4,846$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Paul | 9c | 4,220$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paul | 10c | 4,052$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.29 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paul | 16c | 3,702$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.77 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Paul | 11c | 3,281$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Paul | 9c | 3,186$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paul | 12c | 3,153$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.35 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Paul | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Paul | 10c | 2,950$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paul | 8c | 2,506$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paul | 12c | 2,481$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Paul | 10c | 2,131$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Paul | 11c | 2,065$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.15 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Paul | 9c | 1,828$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…0f74backed Paul | 5c | 1,727$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Paul | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Paul | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Paul | 14c | 1,422$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paul | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…0e2bbacked Paul | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Paul | 15c | 1,167$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Paul | 10c | 1,107$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Paul | 2c | 1,026$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Paul | 6c | 1,022$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Paul | 10c | 1,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Paul | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Paul | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…3280backed Paul | 12c | 933.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Paul | 11c | 906.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Paul | 12c | 875$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Paul | 12c | 871.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…c8dabacked Paul | 6c | 832.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Paul | 15c | 755.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…a39fbacked Paul | 2c | 738.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Paul | 13c | 706.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Paul | 11c | 666$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paul | 10c | 651.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Paul | 10c | 600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Paul | 14c | 565.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Paul | 12c | 550$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Paul | 10c | 534.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Paul | 11c | 521.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Paul | 16c | 504.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Paul | 14c | 462.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Paul | 10c | 449.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Paul | 12c | 403.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Paul | 9c | 395.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Paul | 10c | 363.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Paul | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…6c59backed Paul | 13c | 338.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Paul | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…40c3backed Paul | 10c | 325.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paul | 13c | 322.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Paul | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…3b65backed Paul | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Paul | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Paul | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…96febacked Paul | 14c | 280$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Paul | 12c | 265$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Paul | 15c | 251.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Paul | 10c | 249.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paul | 15c | 246.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Paul | 12c | 227.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed Paul | 12c | 220$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Paul | 12c | 206.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Paul | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Paul | 15c | 198.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Paul | 11c | 181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Paul | 12c | 176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Paul | 13c | 171$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Paul | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Paul | 6c | 161.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paul | 12c | 154.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Paul | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…01a5backed Paul | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Paul | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Paul | 11c | 138$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Paul | 17c | 132$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Paul | 10c | 130.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Paul | 10c | 125.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Paul | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Paul | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Paul | 14c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…f8e3backed Paul | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Paul | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3cdcbacked Paul | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Paul | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Paul | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs PaulAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Alcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)Alcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.