TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sasnovichof Badosa, Sasnovich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4a1…6e1cbacked Badosa68c50,000$34,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,999.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1eb…65c1backed Sasnovich32c32,500$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,099.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Badosa67c21,533$14,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,426.9611633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sasnovich33c21,493$7,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,404.9125428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7b…124abacked Sasnovich32c18,023$5,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,255.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Badosa12c8,868$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.2380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Badosa59c8,299$4,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,905.4219134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sasnovich51c6,428$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Sasnovich74c5,569$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.354647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Badosa49c5,380$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.72,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Badosa74c5,075$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,77235247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sasnovich44c4,876$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.392,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sasnovich45c4,581$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.9211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Sasnovich32c3,615$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.21,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Badosa62c3,215$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Badosa68c3,100$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10857249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Sasnovich58c2,539$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.9227460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede4…532ebacked Badosa50c2,405$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Badosa57c2,373$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.225232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Badosa69c2,200$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Badosa58c2,161$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.716740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Sasnovich51c1,873$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Badosa70c1,750$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.497951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Badosa42c1,575$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.292,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Badosa47c1,529$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.2869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Sasnovich57c1,518$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.962369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Badosa40c1,470$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.9916133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Badosa69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Badosa57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Badosa71c1,401$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.546432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Badosa62c1,368$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84372132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sasnovich31c1,299$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.1711045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Badosa62c1,291$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.4597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Sasnovich46c1,133$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.387936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Badosa74c1,127$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8331471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Badosa63c1,118$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.0359151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sasnovich39c1,074$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.193,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Sasnovich33c1,034$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.094526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sasnovich59c1,029$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.981,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b3…67f7backed Badosa1c1,017$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…db49backed Sasnovich54c931.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.661250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Sasnovich46c903.21$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.831,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked Badosa68c900$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6121060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Sasnovich32c900$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6121040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Badosa73c822.93$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60065558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Badosa72c817.24$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4121949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Badosa60c808.47$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.085457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Badosa55c797.62$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.78530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Badosa70c797.44$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.2122641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Badosa31c780.55$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.198,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Sasnovich42c711.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.9853752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ce…4994backed Sasnovich43c699.99$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sasnovich30c679.05$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.3311242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Sasnovich36c667.77$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8931434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Badosa23c641.83$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.542,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Sasnovich40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37539431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Sasnovich42c600$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35112227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sasnovich59c580.83$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.041,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe974…bb41backed Sasnovich56c559.71$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.052254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Sasnovich38c554.18$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2521843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Sasnovich56c540.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1614858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sasnovich32c539$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.5242141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Sasnovich48c535.42$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4226158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Badosa69c522.9$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Badosa31c514.8$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed Badosa69c510.17$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Badosa67c510$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.746553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Badosa68c499.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.995149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sasnovich31c499.93$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.454,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Badosa59c496$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Sasnovich80c493$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.848552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Badosa56c492.1$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6918551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc847…262fbacked Sasnovich3c488.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Sasnovich32c484.38$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3851243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sasnovich31c472.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.991,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Sasnovich43c469.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Sasnovich30c467.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.831435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Sasnovich43c467.44$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4441955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d2…bbadbacked Sasnovich33c447.73$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Sasnovich32c427.62$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.782646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sasnovich29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28434842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed Sasnovich41c399.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Sasnovich31c395.45$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8616340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1741…6f97backed Badosa46c389.06$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Badosa52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b16…f3febacked Badosa58c356.6$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.831827.8%5 W · 13 L-6.9wins-0.38per pick66cpaid-62.8%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Sasnovich33c318.03$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.536851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Badosa55c311.02$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17231941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Sasnovich32c303.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.14332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cd…841dbacked Badosa4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210122.8%23 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Badosa67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20118863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc636…de88backed Sasnovich35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+497.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Badosa71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Sasnovich37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Badosa53c269.26$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.44367.4%29 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Sasnovich79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f34…193cbacked Badosa43c235$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.05633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Badosa61c219.58$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13354547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Badosa52c215.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9925764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Badosa48c211.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7233228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.