Tennis · resolved market

New Delhi: Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf500af0a39491a02cae1680a9addc79083556f2adcca6c7f192f35dc3b1485ab

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Geertsof Butvilas, Geerts
Resolved: Feb 16, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfb85…8464backed Butvilas	37c	2,012$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	721	32%231 W · 490 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Geerts	63c	1,988$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.8	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Geerts	64c	782.34$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.85	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Butvilas	31c	646.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Geerts	33c	572.53$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.59	223	37.7%84 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Butvilas	55c	539$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.9	1,980	46.2%915 W · 1,065 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Butvilas	34c	500$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.27	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Geerts	35c	499.96$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.17	3,884	35%1,358 W · 2,526 L	+92.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Butvilas	31c	419.59$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Butvilas	65c	380$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Butvilas	37c	360.16$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.39	491	43%211 W · 280 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Geerts	34c	350$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Butvilas	66c	350$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Geerts	33c	347.78$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.01	317	53.6%170 W · 147 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Geerts	58c	255.61$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.43	492	50.6%249 W · 243 L	-25.7wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Butvilas	60c	227.75$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.4	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6155…01a5backed Butvilas	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-86.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Geerts	72c	170$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.81	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Butvilas	64c	155.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	693	50.5%350 W · 343 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Geerts	65c	154$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	524	60.9%319 W · 205 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Geerts	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Geerts	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	733	50.9%373 W · 360 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Butvilas	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	96	63.5%61 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Butvilas	64c	143.64$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.97	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Butvilas	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	515	39.8%205 W · 310 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Butvilas	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	200	39%78 W · 122 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Geerts	33c	99.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Geerts	33c	90.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	398	50%199 W · 199 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Butvilas	23c	84.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	6,840	48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L	+58.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Geerts	36c	83.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.99	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Geerts	63c	79.78$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.78	1,615	50.6%817 W · 798 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ee…0bb0backed Geerts	39c	79.27$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.63	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-48%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Geerts	63c	69.9$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.21	619	53.3%330 W · 289 L	+18.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Geerts	63c	61.61$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.61	580	67.8%393 W · 187 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Butvilas	64c	60.61$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Butvilas	24c	59.15$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Geerts	77c	57$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.11	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Butvilas	32c	56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Butvilas	37c	52.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	131	38.9%51 W · 80 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Butvilas	31c	51.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Butvilas	30c	49.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…f5f6backed Geerts	61c	47$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	62cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7540…9827backed Geerts	70c	46.24$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.99	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	69cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Geerts	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	202	70.8%143 W · 59 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Geerts	38c	39.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.46	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Butvilas	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	130	66.9%87 W · 43 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Butvilas	67c	30.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	173	54.3%94 W · 79 L	+12.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Geerts	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc67d…ffc4backed Geerts	36c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Butvilas	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	184	47.3%87 W · 97 L	+16.7wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb152…ef4cbacked Butvilas	55c	27.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Geerts	68c	21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Butvilas	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb846…b8d0backed Butvilas	66c	18.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New Delhi: Edas Butvilas vs Michael Geerts

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market