Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Veronika Erjavec vs Moyuka Uchijima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b848252f541baff12e27b404c0d3d871b3d2ea003f36e83a5785e9221f4dd9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uchijimaof Erjavec, Uchijima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Uchijima | 78c | 7,024$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Erjavec | 31c | 5,025$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.74 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Uchijima | 67c | 4,931$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.42 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Uchijima | 73c | 3,183$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Erjavec | 9c | 2,395$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.42 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Erjavec | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Erjavec | 49c | 1,090$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Erjavec | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Erjavec | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Uchijima | 67c | 645.91$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Uchijima | 57c | 583.86$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Uchijima | 69c | 580.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Erjavec | 48c | 569.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.11 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Erjavec | 32c | 467.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Erjavec | 13c | 369$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Erjavec | 12c | 334$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Erjavec | 25c | 323$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Uchijima | 73c | 316.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Erjavec | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Erjavec | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Erjavec | 42c | 286.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Erjavec | 12c | 268$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Uchijima | 71c | 267.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Erjavec | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Erjavec | 23c | 246$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Uchijima | 65c | 235.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Erjavec | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Erjavec | 19c | 181$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Erjavec | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Uchijima | 68c | 141.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Erjavec | 16c | 108.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Uchijima | 79c | 101.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Erjavec | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Uchijima | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Uchijima | 68c | 95.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…01a5backed Erjavec | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uchijima | 69c | 81.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Erjavec | 37c | 81.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Uchijima | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Uchijima | 55c | 75.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Erjavec | 29c | 73.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Uchijima | 68c | 67.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Erjavec | 33c | 66.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Erjavec | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…9664backed Erjavec | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Uchijima | 58c | 45.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Erjavec | 39c | 43.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Uchijima | 74c | 43.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Uchijima | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Uchijima | 76c | 36.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Uchijima | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Uchijima | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Erjavec | 50c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Erjavec | 51c | 34.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Uchijima | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…32aabacked Uchijima | 62c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Erjavec | 36c | 29.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Erjavec | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Uchijima | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…aa8ebacked Uchijima | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Uchijima | 67c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Uchijima | 68c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Uchijima | 70c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Veronika Erjavec vs Moyuka Uchijimathis page
- Set Handicap: Uchijima (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5)Uchijima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.