Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a34d59b5c2ac9e76a18710a3f9e7cf4a55562cc7fdffc8121b6131d2ee14fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof UC Riverside Highlanders, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 15c | 11,383$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.78 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 7c | 6,774$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 15c | 4,240$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.57 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 15c | 3,050$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 15c | 2,351$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 2,150$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 5c | 1,617$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 1,384$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 746$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…01a5backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 743.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 742.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 8c | 566.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…615cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 79c | 425.09$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6949…3d45backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 19c | 323.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -80%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 11c | 298.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 245.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 11c | 189.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 156.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 8c | 155.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…25aebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 129.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 125.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed California-San Diego Tritons | 72c | 105.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 17c | 93.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 13c | 92.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 19c | 77.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 17c | 66.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 64.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 34c | 44.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritonsthis page
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-10.5)UC Riverside Highlanders won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-11.5)UC Riverside Highlanders won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-9.5)UC Riverside Highlanders won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 142.5Under won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 144.5Under won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.