Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e5cebb1e4eaa0a820684c95714ecc88e24cbb68cb7c6b3e89d8ba08531b003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 20,304$10,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,728.24 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,676$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 47c | 2,765$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.29 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 44c | 849.54$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.74 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 666.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.76 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…380bbacked Under | 46c | 399.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 160.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…0c01backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 90.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 46c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Over | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 46c | 63.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 47c | 61.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Over | 54c | 32.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732e…0b35backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 145.5this page
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-10.5)UC Riverside Highlanders won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-11.5)UC Riverside Highlanders won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-9.5)UC Riverside Highlanders won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego TritonsCalifornia-San Diego Tritons won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 142.5Under won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.