TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91c4…0c01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+87.5%+$13.13
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+68.7%+$107.43
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Montana State Bobcats vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.2%+$4
VCU Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Brown Bears vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+86.2%+$51.71
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.3%+$7.56
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Stetson Hatters vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncosbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+477.1%+$57.25
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+95.7%+$47.85
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+120.2%+$17.83
Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.42
Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Siena Saintsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+77.4%+$15.61
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.2%+$13.71
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+220.5%+$27.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.6%+$15.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.