Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c287ff2d217bd1f13c2ffcf3bce0c663ed593c27c23f61da3505662fff1926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Waltonof Walton, Alboran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alboran | 33c | 10,070$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Walton | 58c | 8,596$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.99 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alboran | 41c | 7,236$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.83 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Alboran | 39c | 2,972$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.93 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Walton | 56c | 2,524$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.2 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Walton | 61c | 2,033$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.29 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alboran | 41c | 1,942$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Walton | 62c | 1,174$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.55 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walton | 77c | 1,051$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Walton | 55c | 909.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.29 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Walton | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alboran | 35c | 786.49$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Walton | 60c | 591$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Walton | 61c | 543$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Walton | 59c | 539$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Walton | 54c | 535.47$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Walton | 61c | 522$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Walton | 62c | 484.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Walton | 64c | 471.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Walton | 62c | 468.83$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Walton | 56c | 426.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Walton | 61c | 407$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Walton | 66c | 381.82$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Walton | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alboran | 35c | 315.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alboran | 32c | 308.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Walton | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Walton | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Walton | 61c | 270$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Walton | 65c | 250.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Walton | 69c | 235.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Walton | 59c | 232.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Alboran | 19c | 202.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Walton | 61c | 195$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Alboran | 36c | 179$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Walton | 65c | 172$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Alboran | 40c | 171.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Alboran | 18c | 150.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Alboran | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Walton | 55c | 115.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alboran | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Walton | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Walton | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alboran | 23c | 75.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Walton | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4df…6a6fbacked Walton | 56c | 54.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alboran | 35c | 54.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Alboran | 24c | 44.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Walton | 56c | 44.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Alboran | 38c | 38.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Alboran | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Walton | 72c | 35.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Walton | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Walton | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Walton | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Alboran | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Walton | 67c | 29.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…0c01backed Walton | 63c | 26.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…9188backed Alboran | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Walton | 61c | 23.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Walton | 66c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Walton | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Walton | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Walton | 62c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.