Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd17235b287513b6695e49832c9fc44fadce0cd65d398d142cd4bd6c17032f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 11,138$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.95 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 6,439$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 1,501$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.49 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 1,355$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.66 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 46c | 815.22$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 54c | 784.92$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.06 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 241$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 117.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0029…6e04backed Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4f…0284backed Under | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 61.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 45.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 54c | 30.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…0c01backed Over | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 52c | 27.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 143.5this page
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso BeaconsValparaiso Beacons won
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 142.5Over won
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Valparaiso Beacons (-4.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
- Spread: Valparaiso Beacons (-5.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.