Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02027f1c20389268458465889242e0ff4a7cd42d2d3b159410dce7cdbd5dbdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercer Bearsof Mercer Bears, The Citadel Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercer Bears | 72c | 8,158$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Mercer Bears | 74c | 7,302$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.47 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 26c | 5,825$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.36 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Mercer Bears | 62c | 4,993$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 38c | 4,422$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 26c | 2,903$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mercer Bears | 76c | 2,651$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 13c | 2,622$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 31c | 2,351$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.17 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 23c | 2,025$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.69 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 26c | 1,950$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.27 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mercer Bears | 76c | 1,679$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.29 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 26c | 1,421$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mercer Bears | 62c | 1,261$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.18 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mercer Bears | 68c | 1,052$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.42 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 1,025$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 27c | 992.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 33c | 954$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 14c | 640$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 14c | 634$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 19c | 601.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Mercer Bears | 76c | 598.2$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 512$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 458.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 32c | 419.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 390.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 294.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 20c | 250.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 54c | 177.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 26c | 171.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Mercer Bears | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0e…152ebacked Mercer Bears | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 30c | 101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 21c | 93.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 92.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…fc0abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 33c | 82.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 34c | 79.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Mercer Bears | 72c | 78.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 36c | 65.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…0c01backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 23c | 60.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 27c | 58.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Mercer Bears | 59c | 58.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 34c | 58.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercer Bears | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mercer Bears | 76c | 48.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 31c | 48.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 38c | 31.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Mercer Bears | 45c | 25.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mercer Bears | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mercer Bears | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Mercer Bears | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogsthis page
- Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Mercer Bears (-9.5)Mercer Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.