Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81dc64f9d19989e5c5a1a52f48ac595250a689b1381e4c8e057c500100d0c6f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 17,117$8,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.84 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 12,673$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,140.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 48c | 320.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Over | 52c | 206.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 100.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…0c01backed Over | 51c | 97.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Under | 48c | 54.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Under | 48c | 51.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed Under | 48c | 50.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Under | 48c | 50.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips: O/U 162.5this page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron ZipsAkron Zips won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips: O/U 160.5Over won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-12.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-13.5)Massachusetts Minutemen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.