TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Akron Zipsof Massachusetts Minutemen, Akron Zips
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a0a…24a9backed Massachusetts Minutemen14c8,504$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.964513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Massachusetts Minutemen14c7,437$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.865,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen25c6,988$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Massachusetts Minutemen18c4,842$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.1725246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Massachusetts Minutemen18c4,830$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.0749747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Massachusetts Minutemen12c4,604$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.171,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Massachusetts Minutemen8c3,069$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Massachusetts Minutemen1c2,766$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4420548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Massachusetts Minutemen29c2,163$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.352737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Massachusetts Minutemen12c1,876$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen8c1,821$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.074,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Massachusetts Minutemen15c1,798$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.737947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Massachusetts Minutemen10c1,341$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.619235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Massachusetts Minutemen24c1,228$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Massachusetts Minutemen11c1,208$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.582,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Akron Zips77c962.58$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Akron Zips77c952.89$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3255840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Massachusetts Minutemen22c909.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Massachusetts Minutemen16c886.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13815733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Massachusetts Minutemen16c873.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen10c815.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen5c751.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.042,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Massachusetts Minutemen13c630.17$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.592,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Massachusetts Minutemen16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Massachusetts Minutemen20c614.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2614325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Akron Zips70c585.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.794742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Massachusetts Minutemen16c555$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Massachusetts Minutemen11c500$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5325325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc3…d183backed Massachusetts Minutemen10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Massachusetts Minutemen21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031c…4261backed Akron Zips78c423.74$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Massachusetts Minutemen17c419.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726619.7%13 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen15c391.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen6c365.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.711,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Massachusetts Minutemen23c323.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Massachusetts Minutemen26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen7c273.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2125337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Akron Zips79c273.13$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen14c265.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.092951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Massachusetts Minutemen19c265.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Akron Zips78c262.85$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.833855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Akron Zips78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4148462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Akron Zips78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4117062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Massachusetts Minutemen14c254.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.625750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Akron Zips77c228.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.33988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Massachusetts Minutemen12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.242,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Massachusetts Minutemen24c156.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5815243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Akron Zips77c154.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.937953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen10c150.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Massachusetts Minutemen21c148.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.963,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3073…c6adbacked Massachusetts Minutemen12c139.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.09119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Massachusetts Minutemen29c135.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Massachusetts Minutemen16c121.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.671,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked Massachusetts Minutemen14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d0…02ccbacked Massachusetts Minutemen12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd36…2eefbacked Akron Zips75c93.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen26c93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+66.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43a4…14cebacked Massachusetts Minutemen16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-71.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a99…4904backed Massachusetts Minutemen23c58.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Akron Zips78c56.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3948…f81bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen27c56.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Akron Zips78c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.574654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c6…234cbacked Akron Zips71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…9657backed Akron Zips75c20.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Akron Zips80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Akron Zips80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.