Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x237841973e6b52a28f05a34d6713b9a3c5b8961a0530bc209ea413f304b00529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Stetson Hatters, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stetson Hatters | 21c | 2,368$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.02 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 78c | 1,167$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.15 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stetson Hatters | 28c | 1,115$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 61c | 1,053$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Stetson Hatters | 2c | 999.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stetson Hatters | 18c | 527.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 75c | 517.47$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Stetson Hatters | 17c | 502$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 50c | 467.34$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 76c | 410.11$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Stetson Hatters | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stetson Hatters | 15c | 311.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 34c | 295$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stetson Hatters | 63c | 291.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Stetson Hatters | 18c | 257.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Stetson Hatters | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stetson Hatters | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Stetson Hatters | 26c | 192.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 73c | 168.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Stetson Hatters | 17c | 164.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…0c01backed Stetson Hatters | 21c | 161.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stetson Hatters | 20c | 122.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 66c | 114$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stetson Hatters | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 75c | 72.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Stetson Hatters | 25c | 62.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stetson Hatters | 24c | 51.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 75c | 49.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 77c | 41.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 67c | 32.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Stetson Hatters | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 76c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-9.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.