South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54081aa5e0a8a5abeca4ba98098ebb81f03d2dc79a2576cb40e90a900799e20b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 4,212$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 15c | 3,524$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.07 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,050$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,985$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.04 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 77c | 1,344$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 12c | 955$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 854.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 13c | 704$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 339.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 18c | 319.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 253.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 11c | 172.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…0c01backed Yes | 10c | 165.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 121.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 19c | 105.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…8905backed Yes | 17c | 68.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…488bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 17c | 60.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 78c | 43.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.