Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6bca9b5f152fc1dc10f8b56e75e194b775c6048d1ddede209547c40c2d1b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof Memphis Tigers, South Florida Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Memphis Tigers | 3c | 6,157$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis Tigers | 5c | 2,972$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Memphis Tigers | 24c | 2,123$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.44 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Memphis Tigers | 2c | 2,012$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 79c | 1,485$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Memphis Tigers | 23c | 1,285$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.17 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed South Florida Bulls | 78c | 1,198$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked South Florida Bulls | 78c | 1,075$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Florida Bulls | 79c | 1,006$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Memphis Tigers | 20c | 602.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Memphis Tigers | 23c | 595$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Memphis Tigers | 24c | 582.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Memphis Tigers | 16c | 500.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed South Florida Bulls | 79c | 483.54$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked South Florida Bulls | 77c | 464$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed South Florida Bulls | 77c | 450.65$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed South Florida Bulls | 79c | 397$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Memphis Tigers | 19c | 319.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 77c | 315.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Memphis Tigers | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Memphis Tigers | 29c | 277.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked South Florida Bulls | 75c | 275.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…a6edbacked Memphis Tigers | 8c | 238.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed South Florida Bulls | 80c | 221.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Memphis Tigers | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Memphis Tigers | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Memphis Tigers | 13c | 196.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Memphis Tigers | 20c | 172$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed South Florida Bulls | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed South Florida Bulls | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked South Florida Bulls | 77c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed South Florida Bulls | 73c | 122.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed South Florida Bulls | 79c | 110.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Memphis Tigers | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Memphis Tigers | 23c | 104.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Memphis Tigers | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed South Florida Bulls | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 80.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed South Florida Bulls | 79c | 73.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Memphis Tigers | 20c | 72.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 71.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers | 15c | 67.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed South Florida Bulls | 79c | 63.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Memphis Tigers | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Memphis Tigers | 20c | 53.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed South Florida Bulls | 80c | 51.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…3dc7backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Memphis Tigers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Memphis Tigers | 21c | 49.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Memphis Tigers | 22c | 48.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed South Florida Bulls | 78c | 42.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed South Florida Bulls | 78c | 42.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed South Florida Bulls | 78c | 39.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Florida Bulls | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed South Florida Bulls | 74c | 29.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…0918backed South Florida Bulls | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…e25ebacked South Florida Bulls | 78c | 18.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Florida Bulls | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked South Florida Bulls | 80c | 16.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked South Florida Bulls | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bullsthis page
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 161.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 162.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 163.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-8.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.