Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567870ed8df25f9f5ad2b7d16e4e02c8f073614a5b2fd3d61d07a5bc93686dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 10,582$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504.06 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 3,693$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.59 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 1,640$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.19 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 1,239$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.92 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 1,133$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.63 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 1,010$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Under | 48c | 474.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 413.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Over | 53c | 224.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 190.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 182.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 148.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 54c | 143.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 126.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 53c | 94.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 54c | 68.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Over | 55c | 45.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 40.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…6870backed Over | 54c | 36.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…7778backed Over | 54c | 23.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 54c | 20.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 163.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 161.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 162.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-8.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.