Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba602be152611c2db21d6665a683d86832b6721cc668e50f46521ea1f50a96e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 55c | 14,448$7,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,886.83 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 45c | 14,376$6,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.9 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 45c | 2,148$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.53 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 45c | 2,082$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.99 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 45c | 793.07$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.19 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 470.67$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Under | 45c | 264.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 176.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 122.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 120.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 105.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 105.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 44c | 85.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 75.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 55c | 65.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 56c | 60.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 45c | 51.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 56c | 46.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 46.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 55c | 40.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 55c | 35.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Under | 46c | 23.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Over | 56c | 23.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 56c | 21.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 53c | 21.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 161.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 162.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 163.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-8.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.