Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52d2ca3df550a4d0e58e5e3b9861b7d1d999974b416e1c93916ab61dc1226dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 4,850$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.38 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 3,761$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.08 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked South Florida Bulls | 53c | 997.98$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.05 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 758.43$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 495.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 445.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Memphis Tigers | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Memphis Tigers | 48c | 205.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Florida Bulls | 54c | 198.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed South Florida Bulls | 51c | 138.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Memphis Tigers | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked South Florida Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 75.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Memphis Tigers | 49c | 59.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 56.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Memphis Tigers | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Memphis Tigers | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 33.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 33.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 32.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed South Florida Bulls | 52c | 31.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 28.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6625…9da5backed South Florida Bulls | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Memphis Tigers | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-8.5)this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 161.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 162.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 163.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.