Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c0a594eaab9833b1835e688874d0d91a8732e5710288b5e101e32bceeca9879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof Samford Bulldogs, The Citadel Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Samford Bulldogs | 69c | 1,456$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.72 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 1,441$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 31c | 1,356$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.52 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 1,200$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 1,186$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 31c | 1,103$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 21c | 781.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Samford Bulldogs | 73c | 732.07$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Samford Bulldogs | 73c | 648$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 614$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 28c | 575$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Samford Bulldogs | 79c | 500$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Samford Bulldogs | 71c | 481.32$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 382.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 325$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 32c | 306.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 18c | 259.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 34c | 155.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 20c | 80.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samford Bulldogs | 75c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 21c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 16c | 68.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 23c | 67.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 29c | 60.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 28c | 39.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Samford Bulldogs | 65c | 38.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Samford Bulldogs | 73c | 27.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Samford Bulldogs | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Samford Bulldogs | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogsthis page
- Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 140.5Over won
- Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-10.5)The Citadel Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.