TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Omaha Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Omaha Mavericksof St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, Omaha Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies4c7,540$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.722,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Omaha Mavericks27c2,737$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.551,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies46c2,476$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies66c1,926$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.241,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Omaha Mavericks34c1,766$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.322,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Omaha Mavericks29c1,509$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.071,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb88…8e33backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies77c1,482$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Omaha Mavericks37c816.92$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.93,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies2c640.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies78c601.34$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.171,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Omaha Mavericks36c538$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Omaha Mavericks62c470.34$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Omaha Mavericks22c349.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.922,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies47c315$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Omaha Mavericks35c257.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies19c254.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8414354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Omaha Mavericks44c229.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies46c215.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Omaha Mavericks38c208$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7636942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Omaha Mavericks37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Omaha Mavericks38c186.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies40c157.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.872,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Omaha Mavericks54c146.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.211,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Omaha Mavericks32c146.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.421,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Omaha Mavericks68c145.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9625337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Omaha Mavericks36c135.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies18c111.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6421449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies62c91.23$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Omaha Mavericks15c76.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.661,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Omaha Mavericks41c76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.842,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Omaha Mavericks60c69.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Omaha Mavericks38c62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.451,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies63c61.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.631,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Omaha Mavericks33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c44…93efbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies43c57.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.38812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Omaha Mavericks38c52.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8425230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies55c52.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.055637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies65c52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.486154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Omaha Mavericks38c46.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.082,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ca…ae4abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies27c44.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies28c43.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968b…e4c5backed Omaha Mavericks30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Omaha Mavericks36c39.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies62c36.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4122730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Omaha Mavericks38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0965…da73backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies42c29.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Omaha Mavericks60c28.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Omaha Mavericks58c18.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies66c17.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.873786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Omaha Mavericks75c13.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.354,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.