Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ef6d3f310fa70ff41c334d095ab59a23ef5515e8e52913916224d7451e1b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0216…d434backed Yes | 54c | 10,900$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…3e02backed No | 46c | 10,900$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 0c | 5,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed No | 44c | 3,400$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Yes | 56c | 3,400$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 7c | 1,210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 18c | 1,057$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 69c | 680.03$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 65c | 674.35$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…305ebacked Yes | 50c | 637.95$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 55c | 487.09$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 7c | 456.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 69c | 396.36$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 69c | 272.56$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 51c | 271.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 44c | 264.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…1a11backed No | 48c | 248.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 65c | 241.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 223.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 44c | 193.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 78c | 191.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 42c | 190.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 75c | 154.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0b22backed Yes | 51c | 147.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 66c | 131.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 54c | 126.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 42c | 125.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e75…9311backed No | 55c | 108.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 43c | 103.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 21c | 102.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 96.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…1af7backed No | 52c | 96.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 13c | 90.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 19c | 88.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 58c | 85.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked No | 30c | 83.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…e1b2backed No | 73c | 76.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 50c | 76.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…3881backed Yes | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed No | 53c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 50c | 69.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Yes | 49c | 65.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed Yes | 77c | 63.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 50c | 61.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 49c | 60.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…76f0backed Yes | 62c | 56.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…35b8backed No | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…98a3backed No | 45c | 48.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…3b0ebacked Yes | 48c | 46.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 29c | 44.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 50c | 44.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…2f75backed Yes | 45c | 43.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 56c | 42.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…047abacked Yes | 60c | 41.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…a70bbacked Yes | 58c | 41.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…c47dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8b…0bbbbacked No | 55c | 40.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…eec2backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…217fbacked Yes | 64c | 38.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cde…86c4backed No | 45c | 36.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 48c | 36.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 60c | 35.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked Yes | 65c | 35.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…8a4ebacked Yes | 79c | 33.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 55c | 32.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…1736backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 76c | 29.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…435cbacked Yes | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 62c | 27.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…a541backed Yes | 37c | 27.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…9ea3backed No | 43c | 27.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 50c | 26.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 55c | 26.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…0c60backed No | 46c | 25.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 77c | 25.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…171bbacked No | 51c | 25.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…5dd5backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2a…8fe5backed Yes | 60c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 57c | 21.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 51c | 20.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…92ccbacked Yes | 73c | 20.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c8…f330backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…f213backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…33bebacked Yes | 79c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on February 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on February 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.