Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4aec4f07c0fe2c89c13d7fda7c2795088f728bb76488bfb5995e472bc0b41cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,239,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,250,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,239,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c8b…97efbacked No | 0c | 355,330$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed No | 0c | 235,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 6cpaid | +798.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…1553backed No | 0c | 187,958$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 0c | 162,339$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…45a8backed No | 1c | 160,474$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 0c | 84,937$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…66f2backed No | 0c | 68,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…ca1dbacked No | 0c | 57,855$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…17ffbacked No | 0c | 56,862$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…add6backed No | 0c | 56,540$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…b495backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…5472backed No | 0c | 46,150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e648backed No | 0c | 41,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…8b68backed No | 0c | 34,850$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…4ccfbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78b…95abbacked No | 0c | 28,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 69c | 27,437$19,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,393.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…8c2cbacked No | 0c | 26,897$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…5d56backed No | 0c | 25,213$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…2ebabacked No | 0c | 24,990$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d1…58a1backed No | 0c | 22,460$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…1a14backed No | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…c577backed No | 0c | 22,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…df50backed No | 0c | 21,309$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647b…a7afbacked No | 0c | 21,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…8550backed No | 0c | 20,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked No | 0c | 18,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…3f74backed No | 0c | 17,547$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ca…adc9backed No | 0c | 17,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…f01fbacked No | 0c | 16,861$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…6c51backed No | 0c | 16,750$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…e04bbacked No | 0c | 15,667$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…ad87backed No | 1c | 15,324$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed No | 1c | 15,230$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed No | 0c | 13,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked No | 0c | 13,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…5134backed No | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…2edbbacked No | 0c | 12,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…37aabacked No | 0c | 12,440$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 54c | 12,293$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,713.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2bd2backed No | 0c | 11,401$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8481…20efbacked No | 0c | 10,960$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…14ecbacked No | 0c | 10,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…5e27backed No | 0c | 10,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…f98abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e8…ec59backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…5126backed No | 3c | 10,000$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6965…a371backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…4320backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…f3fbbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…5312backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…608cbacked No | 0c | 9,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…1fc5backed No | 1c | 8,885$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…d517backed No | 5c | 8,867$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 11c | 8,729$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…bce5backed No | 0c | 8,150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…c06abacked No | 1c | 7,582$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…f720backed No | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…47a8backed No | 0c | 7,430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…da76backed No | 50c | 7,412$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…5184backed No | 0c | 7,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked No | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…c217backed No | 0c | 6,795$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 55c | 6,384$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed No | 6c | 6,169$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…ba3fbacked No | 8c | 6,054$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d708backed No | 0c | 5,732$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…2a6abacked No | 0c | 5,714$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…f478backed No | 4c | 5,595$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed No | 28c | 5,533$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf9…d0c6backed No | 0c | 5,360$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…fb05backed No | 0c | 5,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…af69backed No | 0c | 5,019$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…bff2backed No | 1c | 4,771$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…4668backed No | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…1662backed No | 8c | 4,420$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…5ca3backed No | 0c | 4,290$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…3f79backed No | 0c | 4,061$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…e649backed No | 1c | 4,055$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…c8e6backed No | 0c | 4,053$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…509dbacked No | 0c | 4,040$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…f78fbacked No | 17c | 4,000$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…800dbacked No | 73c | 3,956$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…36dfbacked No | 64c | 3,639$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 55c | 3,467$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.35 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed No | 1c | 3,202$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked Yes | 51c | 2,847$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed No | 6c | 2,760$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 4c | 2,314$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…f0ebbacked No | 12c | 1,905$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,856$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.4 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…2dafbacked No | 7c | 1,810$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked No | 1c | 1,786$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…8fc2backed No | 8c | 1,750$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 9c | 1,715$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 15c | 1,715$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 1,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…81a1backed No | 1c | 1,699$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.