Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5357d1c597908bc500c477534c787e3d39f533105ea0d9fd761e95bf57fd944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 47c | 1,439$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.06 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 52c | 726.14$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…8414backed T1 | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…1efebacked Paper Rex | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed T1 | 45c | 526.27$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.99 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked T1 | 57c | 504.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.08 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked T1 | 46c | 471.16$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 350.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Paper Rex | 64c | 325.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Paper Rex | 53c | 290$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed T1 | 42c | 289.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Paper Rex | 64c | 255.88$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed T1 | 45c | 255$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked T1 | 45c | 208.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Paper Rex | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked T1 | 46c | 184.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…9173backed Paper Rex | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paper Rex | 48c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked T1 | 47c | 114.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked T1 | 56c | 86.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T1 | 36c | 76.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Paper Rex | 48c | 64.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Paper Rex | 48c | 62.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex | 45c | 51.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed T1 | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…88a0backed Paper Rex | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked T1 | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed T1 | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…f480backed T1 | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed T1 | 69c | 19.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsT1 won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.