Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac786bb939a9bfd27d3319fa7072eea43c7b9b45e6d044b64deeeec846ee21a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f88…da69backed Yes | 0c | 20,352$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…ebb1backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 0c | 10,300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,552$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.69 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,690$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 7c | 1,447$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,022$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 4c | 1,020$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Yes | 2c | 836.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 5c | 790.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 7c | 641.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 7c | 640.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 9c | 612.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 46c | 534.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 474.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 10c | 399.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 388.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 19c | 373.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 33c | 322.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 47c | 305.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 22c | 297.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 55c | 271.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 19c | 257.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 255.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 68c | 214.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 210.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 197.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 186.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 47c | 154.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 70c | 152.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…2685backed Yes | 9c | 142.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 77c | 130.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 78c | 125.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Yes | 31c | 124.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed Yes | 14c | 123.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…a13abacked Yes | 11c | 110.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 69c | 102.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 38c | 101.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…487cbacked Yes | 10c | 100.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 15c | 99.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 35c | 96.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…7e95backed No | 56c | 93.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed Yes | 30c | 82.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed Yes | 24c | 82.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked No | 79c | 75.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed No | 60c | 71.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…2f75backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 30c | 69.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 63c | 68.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 17c | 65.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…665fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 45c | 55.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1499…96bdbacked Yes | 39c | 51.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc552…c3abbacked No | 58c | 49.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…66a4backed Yes | 38c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…929dbacked Yes | 38c | 48.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 63c | 47.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 45c | 44.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…5d2dbacked Yes | 23c | 43.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…b547backed No | 54c | 43.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…adbbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad39backed No | 72c | 41.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…dcd0backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cb…5e6fbacked Yes | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…f335backed No | 55c | 34.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfc…46e8backed No | 54c | 33.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked No | 69c | 29.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…2b5ebacked Yes | 47c | 29.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 73c | 27.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…543abacked Yes | 47c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…a2f8backed No | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…aff3backed No | 70c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…8993backed No | 71c | 17.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…dd70backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.