Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b5a8f3e20805a00941b95af00dbf918126ec31bd6cb7cbc5e8b6f83d1d9ac59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f88…da69backed Yes | 2c | 9,936$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 1c | 4,272$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 12c | 2,607$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.19 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 13c | 1,300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 18c | 838.22$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 17c | 810.93$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 41c | 663.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 661.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 23c | 656.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 58c | 638.54$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd736…c78abacked Yes | 16c | 619.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 39c | 618.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.63 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…5bb6backed Yes | 28c | 508.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 22c | 470.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 437.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 7c | 437.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 7c | 425.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 28c | 402$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 13c | 384.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 79c | 382.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…07f8backed No | 79c | 338.07$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 7c | 334.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 304.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 24c | 251.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 18c | 230.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 30c | 222.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 19c | 216.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 247 | 10.5%26 W · 221 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 14c | 214.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 21c | 212.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 14c | 209.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 22c | 207.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 76c | 194.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 14c | 189$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 53c | 187.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…2e00backed Yes | 63c | 179.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 179.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 63c | 156.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 37c | 135.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 61c | 133.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…929dbacked Yes | 33c | 131.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 50c | 119.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…0209backed Yes | 14c | 115.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 17c | 113.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…b4efbacked No | 71c | 108.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 55c | 106.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 21c | 103.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 44c | 100.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…a680backed No | 55c | 99.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 50c | 93.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…9ed8backed No | 77c | 93.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed No | 76c | 87.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 13c | 87.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c7ebacked Yes | 33c | 81.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 77c | 79.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 20c | 76.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…ef5dbacked Yes | 13c | 76.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 69c | 74.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 62c | 66.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 31c | 65.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a67…5773backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 33c | 59.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…5cb9backed Yes | 19c | 56.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 24c | 53.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 50c | 51.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…4a5bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 53c | 44.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…815abacked No | 76c | 42.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…f704backed Yes | 60c | 35.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 79c | 31.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b267backed No | 44c | 31.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…a9c1backed No | 76c | 30.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…e2b6backed Yes | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 78c | 28.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…d5bfbacked Yes | 65c | 27.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…7e5ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…ceb2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 44c | 24.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 61c | 23.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed No | 78c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…98d0backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…1109backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…931abacked Yes | 69c | 16.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.