Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c7c44baad3d5a6cea417d347ecbe4ee49aa19af4894de6301c569b21104f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f88…da69backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…662dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,901$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…282fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,533$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…7a8dbacked No | 33c | 2,750$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…81b2backed No | 39c | 2,550$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…1b6dbacked No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa034…4bc5backed Yes | 1c | 2,021$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…b3adbacked Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…c670backed Yes | 61c | 1,350$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80c…de41backed Yes | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…c29bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…5de7backed Yes | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…2a31backed Yes | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,168$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 3c | 1,105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 2c | 1,046$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 65c | 776.06$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.22 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 27c | 700$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 9c | 601.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 52c | 589.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 29c | 541.96$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 24c | 519.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 46c | 490.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed No | 57c | 433.72$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed Yes | 62c | 411.12$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.56 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 69c | 380.95$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 64c | 373.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 14c | 371.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 68c | 367.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 54c | 359$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14e…b7f1backed No | 46c | 336.87$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 13c | 336.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 41c | 319.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 52c | 299.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 58c | 273.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…aff3backed No | 45c | 252$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 42c | 250.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 58c | 242$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed Yes | 50c | 239.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 12c | 230$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 226.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 41c | 223.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 71c | 193.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 188.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…507abacked Yes | 61c | 183.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 13c | 179.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 36c | 169.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…f946backed Yes | 65c | 161.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 54c | 160.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 34c | 155.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…40c6backed Yes | 70c | 148.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 70c | 143.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 21c | 141.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…a680backed No | 46c | 130.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked No | 58c | 126.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…583fbacked Yes | 68c | 124.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 30c | 124.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…122cbacked No | 39c | 118.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 32c | 115.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 110.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 46c | 109.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…722ebacked Yes | 26c | 104.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…07f8backed No | 79c | 104.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 66c | 100.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…3152backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed No | 38c | 98.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked Yes | 66c | 98.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed Yes | 45c | 95.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 33c | 91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 55c | 90.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 48c | 89.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Yes | 67c | 88.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Yes | 60c | 83.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed No | 42c | 82.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…5ccdbacked Yes | 63c | 73.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…b9a3backed Yes | 41c | 73.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 37c | 70.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 40c | 70.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 45c | 67.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…d5bfbacked Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 36c | 63.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…2a57backed No | 32c | 63.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 30c | 60.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…983fbacked Yes | 60c | 60.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 54.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…adbbbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.