Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a6d2701f379c0b23a51275a9960c2e53688d8ac5ba48fa032ebb3698b6492b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab0f…ee84backed No | 2c | 3,203$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…998fbacked No | 1c | 2,177$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…b774backed No | 1c | 1,828$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 61c | 1,372$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.71 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 18c | 1,050$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 63c | 583$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…305ebacked Yes | 64c | 500.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 65c | 441.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 29c | 410.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 59c | 376.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 40c | 313.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.02 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 75c | 309.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 12c | 307.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 48c | 299.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 67c | 299.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 64c | 292.29$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Yes | 58c | 289.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…b5f2backed No | 40c | 276.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 59c | 270.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 41c | 258.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 44c | 246.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 59c | 233.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked No | 39c | 211.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 196.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 56c | 192.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 62c | 190.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 25c | 172.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 21c | 169.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…7ee4backed No | 32c | 166.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…2e00backed Yes | 32c | 156.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 34c | 154.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…9d5ebacked No | 66c | 152.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 61c | 149.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked No | 48c | 148.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 56c | 129.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 44c | 123.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 43c | 117.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 56c | 113.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3c17backed Yes | 49c | 112.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…4641backed Yes | 66c | 112.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ac…5315backed No | 37c | 104.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked No | 29c | 102.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 102.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…ee40backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…96c0backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 38c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…afb2backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…551fbacked No | 34c | 99.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 42c | 94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 51c | 90.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 66c | 85.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 51c | 83.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 27c | 81.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 74.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 79c | 74.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 69c | 73.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 37c | 71.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…496fbacked No | 38c | 71.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…3881backed Yes | 40c | 70.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…ca35backed No | 38c | 70.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…c47dbacked Yes | 62c | 67.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…1af7backed No | 59c | 66.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…047abacked Yes | 65c | 64.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 39c | 61.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked No | 43c | 60.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 56c | 60.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…35b8backed No | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed No | 28c | 58.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 38c | 54.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…94f0backed No | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…a541backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…ab15backed No | 37c | 49.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…fcd0backed No | 51c | 49.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 68c | 48.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…98a3backed No | 45c | 48.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…93febacked No | 40c | 47.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…14aabacked Yes | 75c | 45.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…ee8cbacked Yes | 50c | 43.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…4e54backed Yes | 67c | 43.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…ca76backed Yes | 60c | 42.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed No | 59c | 41.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…75bbbacked Yes | 63c | 41.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.