Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327c01386c5a7b1ed7b4a2a7fe02214ee76dc1c012da82355bfa7eac254d2257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 74c | 4,628$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 2,451$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 13c | 2,287$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 36c | 1,179$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 3c | 1,079$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,075$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 18c | 921.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 14c | 725.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 15c | 665.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 71c | 640.59$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.03 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…ac53backed Yes | 28c | 621.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 42c | 617.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 543.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 11c | 524.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…305ebacked Yes | 15c | 500.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 19c | 475.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 15c | 468.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 21c | 446.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…9c0ebacked Yes | 2c | 445.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 18cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 44c | 387.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 17c | 386.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 47c | 378.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 13c | 368.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed No | 70c | 348.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 10c | 340.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ac…5315backed No | 78c | 338.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked No | 78c | 336.15$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…f9babacked Yes | 28c | 311$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 308.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 13c | 305.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 287.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 22c | 254.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 20c | 253.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 7c | 250.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 63c | 250.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…8bc2backed Yes | 14c | 228.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…bea6backed No | 59c | 224.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 11c | 219.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 16c | 218.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 208.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 30c | 207.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 17c | 204.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 26c | 204.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 203.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 35c | 196.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 22c | 193.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…2f75backed Yes | 17c | 182.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…0c8cbacked Yes | 24c | 176.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 169 | 24.3%41 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 16c | 174.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 26c | 156.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…0898backed No | 60c | 155.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 25c | 150.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…f325backed No | 70c | 140.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 29c | 137.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 17c | 135.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 8c | 135.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a15…32dcbacked Yes | 50c | 121.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…9f1bbacked Yes | 28c | 119.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 22c | 116.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…daefbacked Yes | 73c | 111.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 31c | 110.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 12c | 107.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 26c | 107.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed No | 59c | 107.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 30c | 105.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…afb2backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…dc8fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…7d19backed No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…4a3bbacked Yes | 42c | 97.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed No | 56c | 94.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 89.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 88.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 13c | 79.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Yes | 15c | 76.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 153 | 30.7%47 W · 106 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 34c | 72.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 34c | 67.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…eec2backed No | 76c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 29c | 63.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 51c | 63.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 49c | 62.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 25c | 60.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…846fbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 18c | 56.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…14aabacked No | 75c | 56.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.