Middle East · resolved market
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41e5b3c5f0f57504ea391cf56fc7d4cdb43f951baa8780a9896b008b37fc4d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 97,062$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.86 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 46c | 42,483$19,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,873.16 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…a39fbacked No | 9c | 25,262$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…56f6backed No | 3c | 22,717$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 11c | 16,021$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.29 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de8…371ebacked Yes | 18c | 15,000$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,259.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed No | 3c | 11,135$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 2c | 10,687$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked No | 3c | 10,062$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…9f08backed No | 4c | 10,036$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 34c | 9,785$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 28c | 9,578$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 67c | 8,719$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.28 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 25c | 7,405$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.1 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed No | 70c | 7,149$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 68c | 7,115$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…c047backed No | 29c | 6,857$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…0801backed No | 1c | 6,776$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…c93cbacked Yes | 8c | 6,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 77c | 5,934$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.69 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed No | 5c | 5,195$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 21c | 5,176$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.79 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 10c | 5,174$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.14 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 13c | 5,000$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.98 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 4,911$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed No | 65c | 4,852$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 4,850$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.66 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 64c | 4,444$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.84 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 45c | 4,271$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.13 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…11c3backed No | 25c | 3,976$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed No | 3c | 3,957$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 18c | 3,956$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.79 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 23c | 3,853$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.6 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 1c | 3,542$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 70c | 3,407$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.89 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 6c | 3,350$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.44 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,299$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.16 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…6202backed Yes | 10c | 3,297$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…f6dcbacked No | 2c | 3,162$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…d4c2backed No | 2c | 3,161$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 3,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 7c | 3,017$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.02 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,991$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.4 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 17c | 2,803$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.35 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a0…6d87backed No | 79c | 2,652$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 68c | 2,651$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed No | 70c | 2,571$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…04f5backed No | 1c | 2,459$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…2c06backed No | 2c | 2,429$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 48c | 2,393$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.49 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…f6eabacked No | 1c | 2,371$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…ad85backed No | 2c | 2,286$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 21c | 2,284$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.17 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…6dddbacked No | 3c | 2,188$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 23c | 2,172$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.81 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,141$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 6c | 2,112$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…b4cebacked No | 1c | 2,075$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed No | 1c | 2,048$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ee…da09backed Yes | 19c | 2,011$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.99 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…c5e3backed No | 5c | 2,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked No | 52c | 1,990$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…f4eebacked No | 2c | 1,979$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…9ae6backed Yes | 18c | 1,963$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed Yes | 31c | 1,877$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.03 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,869$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.45 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,862$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.06 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 72c | 1,825$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.34 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…3ab0backed No | 3c | 1,747$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…6ee6backed No | 1c | 1,704$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…0a27backed Yes | 46c | 1,647$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 69c | 1,600$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed No | 5c | 1,590$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 77c | 1,580$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…0e79backed Yes | 29c | 1,554$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0080…45bdbacked No | 1c | 1,530$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 23c | 1,474$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.91 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…0cb2backed No | 2c | 1,432$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 1,330$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.83 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 23c | 1,318$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.38 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 30c | 1,295$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.91 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +13.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 6c | 1,250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 16c | 1,241$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.89 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d12…ab54backed No | 52c | 1,238$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 1,224$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.08 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…7b9ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,192$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.19 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…461cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,189$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 21c | 1,150$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.49 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…d759backed No | 1c | 1,145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80b…6608backed No | 2c | 1,145$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3213…2153backed No | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c6f1backed No | 71c | 1,102$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbf…b0eebacked Yes | 19c | 1,063$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 71c | 1,039$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 10c | 1,033$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.42 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…afe9backed Yes | 60c | 1,026$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 63c | 1,019$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 38c | 1,004$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.73 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…4268backed No | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 74 | 21.6%16 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 62c | 993.54$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.