China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc25820f3f0e3a82ef8af107c547a25373f8798e7ef2776877fabd6da90c341b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 12c | 22,101$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…a454backed No | 0c | 15,150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…fd13backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 4c | 7,139$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 3,620$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 25c | 3,478$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 21c | 2,497$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 76c | 2,429$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 62c | 2,387$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 13c | 2,037$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 13c | 1,933$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.34 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 23c | 1,632$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 1,357$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…c035backed No | 8c | 1,319$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 1,275$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 23c | 1,200$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…fd24backed No | 9c | 1,132$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 12c | 1,114$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 9c | 1,108$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…031abacked No | 1c | 1,077$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…0586backed No | 9c | 1,010$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 947.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 909.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 45c | 907.55$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked No | 6c | 904.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…b871backed Yes | 59c | 753.96$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed No | 1c | 750.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…8819backed No | 9c | 722.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 8c | 713$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 2c | 700.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…32cdbacked No | 9c | 662.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 662.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 40c | 653.93$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…242abacked Yes | 26c | 645.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…a4dcbacked No | 4c | 633.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 624.6$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 69c | 581.28$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…4a8fbacked No | 3c | 581.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Yes | 27c | 564.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…8c1cbacked Yes | 79c | 548.38$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 12c | 541.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed No | 9c | 528.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…1318backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…111abacked No | 11c | 494.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 13c | 481.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…3173backed No | 10c | 468.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 7c | 454.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 451.54$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 73c | 451.12$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 15c | 449.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 9c | 433.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 26c | 431.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 71c | 429.48$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…73b5backed Yes | 27c | 400.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 30c | 400$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 9c | 399.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 25c | 396.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed No | 6c | 385.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…80f6backed No | 6c | 385.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…4953backed Yes | 11c | 362.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 8c | 350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…43c3backed Yes | 23c | 348$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +330.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 28c | 326.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…bd6bbacked No | 3c | 326.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…164bbacked Yes | 31c | 323.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…e82dbacked Yes | 27c | 310.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 53c | 310.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 32c | 308.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked No | 7c | 304.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 26c | 303.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 29cpaid | +169.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…9783backed Yes | 61c | 301.29$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b4bebacked No | 15c | 300.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965b…1b6dbacked Yes | 27c | 295.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +275.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…2a88backed Yes | 34c | 292.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…559dbacked No | 10c | 286.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 15c | 286$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6a…9f05backed Yes | 21c | 279.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +133%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed No | 11c | 278$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 26c | 275.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…0217backed No | 7c | 270.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3786…439abacked No | 11c | 270.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…c64dbacked No | 5c | 268$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed No | 6c | 263.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…27e8backed Yes | 22c | 232.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 21c | 230.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 28cpaid | +177.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 223$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed No | 11c | 220.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 13c | 219.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…3f3fbacked Yes | 23c | 215.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…efa9backed Yes | 28c | 214.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 24c | 208.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +316.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…90c9backed Yes | 26c | 202.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…e3fcbacked Yes | 30c | 202.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efb…d78bbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…2041backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.