China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe51d73ec97dc8c38299b83d01a0bf4c4f4f882ff493da3ef6c4dc763a30282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 2c | 55,649$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.2 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…8849backed Yes | 0c | 24,940$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb14…8155backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…fd13backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…f1bdbacked Yes | 75c | 8,405$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,337.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…4d3abacked Yes | 0c | 6,919$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +6,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 5,267$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…6f73backed Yes | 65c | 5,005$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 13c | 4,312$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11d…ee9abacked Yes | 12c | 3,831$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 41c | 3,774$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.63 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +9.7wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…9cb2backed Yes | 5c | 3,509$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 8c | 2,801$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 51c | 2,739$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.8 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +7.5wins | +0.42per pick | 53cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 44c | 2,399$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 45c | 2,392$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.15 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed No | 69c | 2,366$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Yes | 50c | 2,326$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 21c | 2,286$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +87%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 2,255$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.02 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…dfc2backed No | 45c | 2,124$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +683.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…46c8backed Yes | 10c | 2,038$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 12c | 2,030$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 1,979$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,921$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…8819backed Yes | 10c | 1,907$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Yes | 54c | 1,844$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,673$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 1,658$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 7c | 1,657$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 40c | 1,446$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.29 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 23c | 1,443$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,418$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 1,407$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eed…1d52backed Yes | 4c | 1,396$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…140abacked Yes | 12c | 1,364$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…ca51backed Yes | 3c | 1,341$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 21c | 1,300$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…4acdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,296$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,266$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…c035backed Yes | 8c | 1,210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…7816backed No | 42c | 1,184$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b5e5backed Yes | 67c | 1,177$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 70c | 1,155$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes | 6c | 1,154$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,153$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…4976backed Yes | 56c | 1,130$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…63e7backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 70c | 1,069$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…4956backed Yes | 9c | 1,055$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…0f44backed Yes | 17c | 1,042$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,032$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…6043backed No | 35c | 1,005$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 68c | 1,002$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Yes | 56c | 999.97$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f1f6backed Yes | 6c | 998.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 59c | 988.28$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 50c | 985.65$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…bf14backed Yes | 11c | 970.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 947.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 3c | 917.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 23c | 865.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…3b9cbacked Yes | 58c | 862.57$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…b192backed Yes | 50c | 849.99$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed Yes | 8c | 800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…a4dcbacked Yes | 3c | 789.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…81e8backed Yes | 5c | 781.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…abaebacked Yes | 15c | 773.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 12c | 769.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked Yes | 7c | 759.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 39c | 747.95$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 55c | 713.13$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…8c1cbacked Yes | 58c | 710.45$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 38c | 700.38$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.36 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…416cbacked Yes | 3c | 683.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed No | 60c | 683.3$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 673$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…fae5backed No | 36c | 661.77$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…51a8backed Yes | 55c | 661.2$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Yes | 5c | 640.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 7c | 631.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…2914backed Yes | 65c | 630.26$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60f…4140backed Yes | 48c | 607.26$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 42c | 604.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c22…3479backed Yes | 58c | 603.09$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 12c | 599.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d74…96ebbacked Yes | 32c | 586.85$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 48c | 544.27$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +257.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 9c | 542.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 510$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 28c | 501.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 22c | 500$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7880…a793backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…31b1backed Yes | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…559dbacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.