China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33f8b9461b5ed188dab3c5cc43750e72c04d1f9570288b75132cd7866495f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f9b…7be4backed Yes | 0c | 47,362$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…8683backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b31…5bd6backed Yes | 0c | 19,830$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f532backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…79b4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…060ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…34febacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…b882backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…f699backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…dfc2backed Yes | 18c | 1,921$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +683.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 14c | 1,347$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,033$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 79c | 1,002$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc384…ec9ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 17c | 663.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 22c | 458.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9cd5backed Yes | 6c | 450.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 14c | 447.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…924ebacked Yes | 23c | 437.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…164bbacked Yes | 19c | 436.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 15c | 424$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13b9…c60fbacked Yes | 13c | 386.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 339.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6a…9f05backed Yes | 18c | 336.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +133%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 6c | 330$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 16c | 325.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 29cpaid | +169.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 14c | 299.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…242abacked Yes | 21c | 296.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 18c | 279.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 267.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 19c | 267.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…c450backed Yes | 19c | 262.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…e046backed Yes | 19c | 262.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5621…b2efbacked Yes | 16c | 258.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…5ca2backed Yes | 14c | 251.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…fae5backed Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Yes | 18c | 238.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 237.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…cd61backed Yes | 8c | 236.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 211.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Yes | 14c | 207.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb773…b0e8backed Yes | 15c | 206.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 7c | 188.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 33cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 14c | 185.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…08f0backed Yes | 11c | 183.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…6430backed Yes | 28c | 179.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…b871backed Yes | 20c | 178.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…b91bbacked Yes | 17c | 164.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 32c | 157.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a180backed Yes | 14c | 153.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…fbfabacked Yes | 17c | 153.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…2dc2backed Yes | 17c | 150.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…7df9backed Yes | 16c | 149.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 19c | 141.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 10c | 139.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7893…c19fbacked Yes | 15c | 137.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 15c | 137.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Yes | 18c | 136.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…ca41backed Yes | 11c | 134.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…f458backed Yes | 16c | 128.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…6f50backed Yes | 16c | 121.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…9783backed Yes | 17c | 113.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 13c | 111.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ba…1969backed Yes | 16c | 110.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…c2bfbacked Yes | 17c | 108.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…5e7cbacked Yes | 28c | 107.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…7f93backed No | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2428…5c18backed Yes | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 12c | 104.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…52d4backed Yes | 19c | 104.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…eec7backed Yes | 17c | 103.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 103.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…58c9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…bac9backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 16c | 98.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…f790backed Yes | 13c | 98.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes | 20c | 97.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…4953backed Yes | 11c | 91.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 16c | 91.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 15c | 90.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…e53bbacked Yes | 17c | 86.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…24ecbacked Yes | 17c | 81.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…71f7backed Yes | 18c | 81.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…04d5backed Yes | 16c | 81.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…877fbacked Yes | 19c | 80.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…0be2backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…3a33backed Yes | 19c | 79.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…cd9cbacked Yes | 20c | 79.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…4760backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 20c | 76.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…c2edbacked Yes | 15c | 67.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…0791backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.