TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9f3…3a31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
267
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13441.8%56 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$160.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.79
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.75
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+209.4%+$94.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.25
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$38.39
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Egypt leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+486.6%+$518.62
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$227
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.79
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$262
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$236
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$178
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.76
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.99
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.9
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.83
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$91.56
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.99
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$88.99
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$77.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$123.2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$252
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$262.79
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,209.92
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,489.03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.6%+$1,179.56
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$268.2
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.2%+$1,313.76
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,695Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$805
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$207
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.85
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$166
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,122
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.34
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+105%+$20.99
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$143.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$104.49
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+165.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.