Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e5afe4470e88d28a113f7961e3207b2442d18462948dbdad0aee3be95aca15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 68c | 8,956$6,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.58 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 50c | 4,048$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.59 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 74c | 4,032$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.29 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.67 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 2c | 3,735$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed No | 53c | 3,504$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.35 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 76c | 3,371$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.72 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked No | 5c | 3,287$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 23c | 3,241$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.31 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,999$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.94 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 69c | 2,753$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.94 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,619$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.26 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 20c | 2,505$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 2,444$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d22ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,346$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 24c | 2,296$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.35 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 2,062$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.14 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 41c | 2,053$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.79 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 21c | 1,941$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.41 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 29c | 1,627$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 49c | 1,460$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.18 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed No | 21c | 1,411$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…c7cbbacked No | 36c | 1,387$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.81 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 4c | 1,368$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 12c | 1,333$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 1,203$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.77 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 29c | 1,101$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 1,030$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed No | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 55c | 999.98$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 11c | 995.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 19c | 987.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 38c | 919.67$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.19 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 845.96$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 811.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 80c | 811.24$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 53c | 756.69$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.71 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 47c | 742.43$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.79 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 74c | 721$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 18c | 711.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 79c | 648.18$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.52 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 22c | 624.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…6dddbacked No | 2c | 581.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 42c | 562.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…75a0backed Yes | 53c | 535$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.45 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 75c | 515.76$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 49c | 506.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Yes | 63c | 503$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 77c | 500$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 61c | 494.38$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed No | 24c | 472.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 162 | 22.2%36 W · 126 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…1ec5backed No | 13c | 436.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 66c | 435.84$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 18c | 423.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 55c | 421.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 55c | 413.35$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 29c | 387.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 67c | 370.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…08b4backed Yes | 63c | 363.69$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 25c | 354$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 60c | 351.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…2095backed Yes | 73c | 342.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 44c | 341.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 78c | 324$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…c358backed Yes | 78c | 321.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 28c | 321.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 6c | 319.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 287.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 72c | 258.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…38afbacked No | 16c | 249.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 12c | 245.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 18c | 240.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 75c | 236.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…4c45backed Yes | 75c | 234$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed No | 15c | 224.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 60c | 221.28$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…c7ecbacked Yes | 77c | 219.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 53c | 206.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 69c | 205.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 18c | 200.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…9e90backed No | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…0190backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +610.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…c8c7backed Yes | 46c | 197.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…ada2backed Yes | 77c | 195.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…4278backed Yes | 79c | 192.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 58c | 183.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…ec90backed No | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 76c | 173.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 55c | 173$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 171.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.