Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f577671779a97816a25b8796ec8347bc2f1f1849056ad62a85624e8dfaeb5bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,427$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 13c | 17,650$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.38 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 18c | 10,015$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.66 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 3c | 9,599$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 12c | 8,603$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.56 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,666$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 23c | 6,563$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.9 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,726$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 185 | 11.4%21 W · 164 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed Yes | 15c | 4,410$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.05 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 12c | 4,275$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.03 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 32c | 4,247$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.54 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 4c | 4,179$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.67 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 11c | 3,994$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 15c | 3,494$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 13c | 3,212$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.83 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 19c | 3,113$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.54 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,051$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 18c | 2,928$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.9 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,928$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 4c | 2,490$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,435$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 23c | 2,402$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 161 | 22.4%36 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 15c | 2,109$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,034$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.91 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,023$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,004$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 9c | 1,739$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 11c | 1,603$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.06 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 27c | 1,599$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,565$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 14c | 1,509$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 21c | 1,485$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 1,478$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.08 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,445$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 9c | 1,437$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 21c | 1,387$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.59 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 23c | 1,384$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 7c | 1,320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,308$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes | 6c | 1,185$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes | 36c | 1,151$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 16c | 1,080$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 14c | 1,003$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 62c | 1,000$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 37c | 999.84$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.2 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes | 22c | 984.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 9c | 976.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 79c | 971.42$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 10c | 959.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 8c | 949.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes | 6c | 914.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 129 | 19.4%25 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 908$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 21c | 903.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 15c | 841.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 35c | 814.49$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 8c | 772.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…c9a0backed Yes | 7c | 756.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 23c | 753.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Yes | 17c | 700$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 7c | 700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 647.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Yes | 28c | 643.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed Yes | 9c | 615.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 63c | 600$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 543.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 21c | 539.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 534.5$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 11c | 525$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…cf59backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 10.3%11 W · 96 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 28c | 496.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 26c | 455$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 25c | 432.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes | 24c | 425.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 12c | 418.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 7c | 413.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 13c | 403.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…4c45backed Yes | 23c | 383$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 15c | 355$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 347.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 24c | 346.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 30c | 340$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 23c | 334.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 7c | 330.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…0ed2backed Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed No | 79c | 315.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…59c1backed No | 74c | 310$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 14c | 304$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 24c | 300.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…38afbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 14c | 298.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 9c | 297.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…a865backed Yes | 17c | 294.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 23c | 290$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.