Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947a8a89b9c5d1b6a1ae66259028c7e65443f7bfececfc2947960a6454ea0351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 40c | 16,301$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,841.26 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 27c | 14,374$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.69 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 40c | 13,730$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,191.23 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 15c | 11,212$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,562.52 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…3cf1backed No | 3c | 10,400$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 52c | 9,945$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.15 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 19c | 9,883$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,959.56 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 21c | 8,508$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.41 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 42c | 6,619$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.78 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 1c | 5,668$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 18c | 5,417$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.33 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 75c | 5,241$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.16 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,061$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.59 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 61c | 4,818$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.27 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 39c | 4,640$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.91 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…158cbacked No | 9c | 4,154$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.88 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 27c | 3,994$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.81 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 20c | 3,688$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.94 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…f83abacked Yes | 43c | 3,511$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,380$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.35 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 41c | 3,262$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.21 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 3,151$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.74 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes | 44c | 3,038$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.96 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,027$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.73 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.97 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 56c | 2,934$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.11 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…4f64backed Yes | 43c | 2,918$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…c2dfbacked Yes | 69c | 2,793$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…6178backed Yes | 40c | 2,757$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.77 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,726$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.51 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 30c | 2,652$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.36 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 54c | 2,638$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.3 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed No | 57c | 2,559$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.08 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 51c | 2,451$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.76 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 2,425$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.68 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 41c | 2,391$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.46 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked Yes | 33c | 2,307$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.66 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d4…6d35backed Yes | 16c | 2,293$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.62 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…b5a0backed Yes | 55c | 2,263$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.81 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 5c | 2,131$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.1 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9992backed Yes | 31c | 2,035$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.57 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960b…9303backed Yes | 32c | 1,990$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.25 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 1,986$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.34 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…c151backed No | 75c | 1,944$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,935$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.1 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc447…54f5backed No | 80c | 1,870$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4288…00e8backed Yes | 47c | 1,852$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dc…581abacked Yes | 55c | 1,830$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +4,990.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 3c | 1,801$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.75 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,761$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.34 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…d5a6backed No | 59c | 1,761$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,661$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.93 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed No | 65c | 1,656$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.83 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 36c | 1,634$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.53 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 45c | 1,600$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.36 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 17c | 1,562$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.67 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd293…a4e3backed No | 64c | 1,493$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…b14fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,484$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.93 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 77c | 1,467$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.35 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 21c | 1,438$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.55 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 15c | 1,427$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.75 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…c49cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,366$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.4 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 41c | 1,336$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.42 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,319$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.83 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6cb3backed No | 60c | 1,295$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87d…e2c9backed No | 72c | 1,286$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 16c | 1,246$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.3 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…00f7backed No | 62c | 1,237$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.01 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 4c | 1,174$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.19 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 80c | 1,119$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,110$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.8 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…06bdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,087$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 42c | 1,086$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.5 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…c878backed Yes | 9c | 1,076$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.15 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…9ac8backed Yes | 3c | 1,042$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.3 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 56c | 1,042$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.39 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 19c | 1,039$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.94 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 46c | 1,030$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.05 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,005$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.16 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…f169backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 124 | 16.9%21 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 3c | 980$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.83 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 5c | 926.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.01 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…ea54backed Yes | 13c | 913.08$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.07 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…136dbacked No | 57c | 899.97$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.78 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked No | 71c | 896.1$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.38 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 15c | 871.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.8 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed No | 25c | 871.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…227bbacked Yes | 21c | 863.27$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 62c | 853.25$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.49 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 19c | 837.45$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.78 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 73c | 808.36$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.28 | 344 | 27%93 W · 251 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…6f4dbacked Yes | 53c | 800$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 24c | 779.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.93 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…2004backed Yes | 15c | 749.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.78 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 2c | 720.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.35 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 702.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.17 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 18c | 699.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed Yes | 62c | 692.65$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.09 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.