Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7713680ecb960396ce6e40f71f940687e09940b8760d62b779481d1c277059e7

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $455,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $368,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,430 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	26,997$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.81	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	22,814$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.93	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	2c	17,059$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.08	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	41c	9,410$3,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,847.82	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	8c	7,854$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.22	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	6,460$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b7…227bbacked No	57c	5,882$3,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550.06	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	36c	5,580$1,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,993.2	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	23c	5,000$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.99	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	15c	4,453$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.45	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…b5a0backed Yes	36c	4,084$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.17	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	4,067$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.6	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No	56c	3,800$2,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,666	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	15c	3,500$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.04	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	18c	3,465$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.35	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	1c	3,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	2,882$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.45	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x456a…9d4bbacked No	78c	2,854$2,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.59	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	19c	2,777$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.64	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	58c	2,675$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110.92	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	44c	2,311$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.21	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	49c	2,296$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,136.35	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	5c	2,222$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.35	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	7c	2,190$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.3	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	40c	2,065$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.45	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	2,037$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2749…06edbacked Yes	35c	2,031$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.57	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	31c	2,000$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb087…6658backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	5c	1,800$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.95	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes	8c	1,697$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.66	130	31.5%41 W · 89 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea7b…2004backed Yes	57c	1,666$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.58	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	8c	1,631$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.97	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6763…b14fbacked No	59c	1,600$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.67	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	1c	1,600$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	37c	1,600$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	42c	1,547$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.74	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	51c	1,521$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.05	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	1,514$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	9c	1,500$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes	56c	1,420$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.36	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…765abacked No	67c	1,324$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.41	22	90.9%20 W · 2 L	+4.3wins	+0.19per pick	71cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7fe…a38fbacked Yes	3c	1,319$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	1,301$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	41c	1,298$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.36	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	37c	1,251$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.86	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Yes	43c	1,192$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.48	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8723…3eedbacked No	76c	1,190$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.48	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	1,146$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.81	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	45c	1,080$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.36	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	9c	1,048$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.94	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	52c	1,016$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.54	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	49c	1,015$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.21	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	38c	1,015$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.41	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	64c	1,015$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.91	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	14c	1,009$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.04	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes	6c	999.98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	38c	996.04$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.14	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	35c	966.35$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.48	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	2c	901.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.31	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes	2c	893.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	744.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9429…c151backed Yes	66c	743.88$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.39	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	713.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed Yes	45c	697.86$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.6	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…ed3ebacked Yes	66c	695.14$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.33	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	35c	670.37$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.5	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	10c	653.42$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.95	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed No	51c	616.91$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.05	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	2c	610.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	25c	605.18$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.86	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	19c	598.02$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.32	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	66c	588.8$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.24	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	3c	574.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c8…88cbbacked Yes	54c	561$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.6	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	61cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac43…3a33backed Yes	25c	542.66$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.85	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	4c	534.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	39c	502.35$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.21	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	64c	494.11$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.15	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed No	75c	491.23$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.83	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Yes	33c	490.28$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.06	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3038…fdebbacked Yes	20c	464$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf26f…97b0backed No	78c	448.51$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b73…c441backed No	72c	441.07$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.24	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabbe…8f37backed Yes	66c	439.65$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.77	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…c878backed Yes	14c	430.63$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.77	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	25c	415$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.58	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	11c	413.78$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.55	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…03b2backed Yes	57c	400$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	6c	400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	41c	387.83$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.4	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	59c	378.26$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.95	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3237…dbd4backed Yes	25c	366.47$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.35	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	54c	365.49$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.55	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes	61c	354.37$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	30c	341.42$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.98	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	42c	337.44$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.54	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745c…15fcbacked Yes	65c	309.7$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.92	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	37c	300.93$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.18	287	23.7%68 W · 219 L	-46.5wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-63%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event