Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e93c92b9a47d575e965cdc24713edd1e50b34e5c0f6b83fb9df22da55c6a1c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 37c | 7,236$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.03 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 33c | 6,692$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.9 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 28c | 6,399$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.04 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 43c | 4,728$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.33 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 67c | 3,773$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.45 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 58c | 3,655$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.52 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked No | 51c | 3,383$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.96 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 74c | 3,153$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.36 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 56c | 2,976$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.47 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 41c | 2,620$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.01 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,604$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.49 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,528$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.7 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 54c | 2,437$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.13 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,288$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.16 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 2,242$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.42 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 34c | 2,235$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.24 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 45c | 2,223$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.75 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 62c | 2,195$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.91 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 2,093$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.38 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.94 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 1,943$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.18 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 60c | 1,850$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 48c | 1,780$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.62 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 54c | 1,749$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.3 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 1,545$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.86 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 64c | 1,489$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.52 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 1,433$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.66 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 1,390$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.96 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,380$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.8 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 1,365$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,308$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.95 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 31c | 1,300$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.42 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 61c | 1,294$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.53 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 36c | 1,246$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.07 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,153$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.9 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 49c | 1,117$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.39 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,087$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.34 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 55c | 1,000$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.3 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 38c | 999.98$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.98 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 44c | 995.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…ccdbbacked Yes | 45c | 966.93$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes | 51c | 871.96$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.26 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 35c | 798$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.06 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…50c4backed Yes | 38c | 794.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 764$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.06 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 26c | 749.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 47c | 739.96$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 33c | 728.62$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.7 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 54c | 716.48$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.34 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 62c | 709.99$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.03 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 30c | 707.21$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.67 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 61c | 599.95$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed No | 49c | 573.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 31c | 556.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.1 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 52c | 552.39$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes | 52c | 552.35$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 24c | 547.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.96 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 46c | 545.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed No | 61c | 530.34$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 26c | 521.65$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.1 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 48c | 520$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 48c | 507.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 56c | 506.31$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.57 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked No | 70c | 502.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 27c | 500$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 47c | 467.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 65c | 467.06$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 41c | 463.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.84 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed Yes | 26c | 405.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…2b9cbacked Yes | 33c | 397.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed No | 63c | 387.08$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 59c | 351.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 29c | 349.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Yes | 32c | 348.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…22a4backed Yes | 63c | 335.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…23c2backed No | 72c | 323$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 60c | 322.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 43c | 318.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 47c | 314.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 56c | 308.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 69c | 307.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…645cbacked Yes | 41c | 304.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked No | 30c | 302.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 17c | 300.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 54c | 299.61$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 149 | 13.4%20 W · 129 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 290.52$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 49c | 290$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…c9f0backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 62c | 289.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 29c | 279.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db4…3a77backed No | 72c | 277.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 44c | 274.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 69c | 273.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 259.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.