Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af611f41057aba84791f7c72c376b639b4492fe765ed90457d2936f1b097ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 23,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 26.6%54 W · 149 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 9,696$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1,083 | 8.2%89 W · 994 L | +28.5wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 3c | 9,660$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.38 | 530 | 10.6%56 W · 474 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 368 | 10.9%40 W · 328 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes | 3c | 7,431$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 1c | 7,045$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 809 | 11.1%90 W · 719 L | +29.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 4c | 5,999$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 1,799 | 7.4%133 W · 1,666 L | -24.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,988$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 1,035 | 10.5%109 W · 926 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 4,962$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.04 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 28c | 3,539$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.63 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,380$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.39 | 411 | 23.1%95 W · 316 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,287$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,994$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,915$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 2,181 | 3.9%85 W · 2,096 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 4c | 2,907$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 337 | 22.3%75 W · 262 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,602$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 230 | 24.8%57 W · 173 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 3c | 2,406$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 191 | 4.2%8 W · 183 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +221%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 2c | 2,169$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 222 | 5.9%13 W · 209 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,880$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 574 | 29.6%170 W · 404 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 2c | 1,630$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 7c | 1,570$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 1,062 | 13.7%145 W · 917 L | +38.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,563$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 7c | 1,536$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 570 | 17.4%99 W · 471 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 1,479$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 590 | 20.8%123 W · 467 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 1,450$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 402 | 48.5%195 W · 207 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 3c | 1,427$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 330 | 29.4%97 W · 233 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 6c | 1,310$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,141$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 4c | 1,112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 218 | 22%48 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 222 | 23.4%52 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 3c | 948.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 774 | 21.7%168 W · 606 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes | 6c | 899.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 185 | 11.4%21 W · 164 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 3c | 884.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked No | 78c | 865$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 4c | 831.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 245 | 22.4%55 W · 190 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 4c | 720.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 489 | 19.4%95 W · 394 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 7c | 719.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 894 | 18.7%167 W · 727 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…1ea7backed Yes | 4c | 709.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 8c | 680.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d18cbacked Yes | 3c | 666.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 3c | 612.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 520 | 28.3%147 W · 373 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 2c | 610.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 72c | 602.52$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 652 | 21.5%140 W · 512 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes | 2c | 595$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 8c | 541.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 508 | 19.1%97 W · 411 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 5c | 460.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,041 | 11%115 W · 926 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 5c | 457.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 4c | 455.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…06dabacked Yes | 4c | 451.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 9c | 432.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 3c | 427.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 105 | 7.6%8 W · 97 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 31c | 420$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…06f8backed Yes | 3c | 362.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1898…4666backed Yes | 3c | 357.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 32c | 356.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 11c | 340.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 423 | 19.4%82 W · 341 L | -19.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…fa03backed Yes | 3c | 330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 3c | 327$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…ab3dbacked Yes | 5c | 319.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 5c | 298.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 269.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | -21.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 250.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 8c | 237.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 31c | 234.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…e0c9backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 75cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 33c | 197$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 17c | 194.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…718ebacked Yes | 21c | 188.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 184.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 403 | 19.1%77 W · 326 L | -57.7wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…2b9cbacked Yes | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed No | 73c | 163.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 328 | 24.7%81 W · 247 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes | 7c | 151$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 16.5%28 W · 142 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…22a4backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +23.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 14c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…c601backed Yes | 40c | 102.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 20.9%37 W · 140 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…2947backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 30c | 96.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 27c | 90.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked No | 75c | 79.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 225 | 22.2%50 W · 175 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 813 | 35.7%290 W · 523 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…7be2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 55.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 227 | 70.9%161 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.