Other European Leagues · resolved market

Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fad7aa7879091e90aca19d4a81a8b5c24cf1f549f40085e1f4a3cd4a7779049

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,453 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	35c	16,057$5,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,594.47	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	34c	6,653$2,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,392.61	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	75c	3,317$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.16	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-7.5wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	64c	3,164$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.12	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	22c	2,474$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.74	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b5…03c8backed Over	61c	2,309$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,403	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	60c	1,986$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.03	2,001	36.5%730 W · 1,271 L	-25.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under	1c	1,938$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,918.13	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+6.3wins	+0.19per pick	17cpaid	+862.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	1,496$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.91	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over	1c	1,401$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	1,205$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,193.34	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+10.1wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+229.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	61c	1,091$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.33	107	70.1%75 W · 32 L	+19.6wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	70c	1,009$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.84	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over	50c	948.73$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.37	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+139.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	24c	921.05$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.05	911	48%437 W · 474 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under	33c	905.33$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.68	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over	11c	730$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.9	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over	3c	664.23$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.28	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over	9c	616.12$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.03	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	61c	563.64$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.82	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Over	49c	454.99$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.95	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+79%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under	71c	400$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	182	41.8%76 W · 106 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	56c	393.72$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.59	1,282	50.2%644 W · 638 L	-25.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under	13c	316.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.07	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Under	32c	312.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.75	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over	24c	311.88$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.82	46	63%29 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over	40c	299.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.42per pick	38cpaid	+120.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ae7…1eebbacked Under	39c	282.77$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	47c	280.79$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.14	1,240	39.2%486 W · 754 L	-35.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	33c	258.11$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.17	869	60.4%525 W · 344 L	+91.3wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under	5c	238.94$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.91	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+120.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f3…3a31backed Over	65c	233.27$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under	73c	229$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.97	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over	78c	223.4$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	32c	213.09$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.26	2,640	35.7%942 W · 1,698 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Over	6c	210.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	67c	198.93$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.65	2,012	35.5%714 W · 1,298 L	-27.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	316	61.7%195 W · 121 L	+11.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	41c	151.49$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.43	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	24c	145.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under	34c	142.68$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.17	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc320…0997backed Over	57c	137.27$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	205	72.2%148 W · 57 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Over	64c	134.38$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Over	49c	132$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.51	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under	41c	125.63$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.16	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+71%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Over	65c	123.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under	76c	116.8$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.03	70	75.7%53 W · 17 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	66cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under	13c	109.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.7	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	30c	109.32$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under	33c	106.45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over	25c	99.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	83	36.1%30 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b90…5077backed Under	75c	92.96$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under	31c	92.51$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.51	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	63c	89.91$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	920	43.4%399 W · 521 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over	57c	85.91$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under	73c	83.72$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.83	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Under	67c	79.43$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.96	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over	19c	77.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over	60c	75.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5bab…36a2backed Over	31c	73.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Over	74c	67.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under	30c	66.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.67	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	51c	62.74$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.87	383	59.3%227 W · 156 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under	59c	57.1$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.41	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Over	28c	50.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+105.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	398	52.5%209 W · 189 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under	56c	49.38$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over	55c	45.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.28	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	51c	44.53$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	210	36.7%77 W · 133 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over	71c	43.77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over	44c	42.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	51c	41.49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	218	54.1%118 W · 100 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3080…79e0backed Over	34c	38.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	51c	34.2$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over	47c	25.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89e9…c4a3backed Under	60c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Under	77c	18.26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Over	66c	17.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x720c…662ebacked Over	64c	16.36$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5this page
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Over won
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Over won
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event