Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceda450da210e4b07599e0357daa3272e024fb1411933366baee25e71c6a0d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 6,327$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 73c | 1,825$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 1,701$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 57c | 1,669$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 56c | 1,120$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 1,105$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.69 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 1,067$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.07 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 59c | 714.9$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Over | 58c | 666$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 525.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 54c | 373.04$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 57c | 193.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 192.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 38c | 144.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 42c | 140.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 42c | 127.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 108.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 47c | 104.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 100.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 88.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 88.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 49c | 86.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 81.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Under | 35c | 57.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffa…274fbacked Over | 48c | 41.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 59c | 41.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Under | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 50c | 32.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 57c | 31.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…8762backed Under | 57c | 24.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 63c | 20.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 73c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.