Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa819fd66b1e85c7b6ce260bf1fbd8fd03ebd416a541043dca168cc6d180a1aff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 10,977$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 67c | 1,503$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.68 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 624.64$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 18c | 613.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 490.14$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 470.93$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 69c | 437.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 432.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 38c | 430.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 333.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 35c | 281.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 251.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 35c | 217.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 216.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 65c | 130.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 122.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 62c | 95.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Under | 35c | 88.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 14c | 87.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Over | 68c | 86.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 45c | 83.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 74.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 34c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 41c | 60.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 58.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 78c | 56.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 54.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 33c | 50.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 39c | 50.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 36c | 50.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 61c | 49.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 44.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 66c | 41.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 59c | 33.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 59c | 33.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…f953backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 63c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.