Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c424e77087f47092a8a2d08ba70975cc7c7d784fffa7ea89091d2f57cb85b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 8,867$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 4,574$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 1,981$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 1,905$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 8c | 1,841$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Under | 74c | 1,522$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 19c | 1,082$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 12c | 833.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Over | 25c | 616.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 22c | 298.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 75c | 265.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 23c | 199.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 76c | 128.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 12c | 106.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…1d1fbacked Under | 71c | 85.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 21c | 70.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…bd3cbacked Under | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 35c | 51.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 63c | 28.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…231fbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…5a26backed Under | 80c | 15.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.