La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4410cfb44a10f6389c1a9efdf08ec09ad74b2d7c4ee27fe16397281b7ad4c77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 8,353$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.39 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 67c | 8,114$5,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 4,339$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.09 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 3,479$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Over | 74c | 1,255$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 1,098$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 12c | 950$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 61c | 491.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 454.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 70c | 390$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 79c | 310.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 17c | 211.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 9c | 155.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 79c | 149$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 74c | 148.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 13c | 91.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…20f6backed Over | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 74c | 67.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 17c | 66.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 73c | 57.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…20ccbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…308fbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ee…1183backed Over | 62c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.