TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c8,246$6,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.574,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over37c4,500$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6653327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under63c3,633$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.249743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under62c3,249$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.812,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over37c3,027$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12017731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c2,790$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.733,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c2,741$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.921,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under62c2,567$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under63c2,400$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8889457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.963641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.056858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over44c1,663$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.86163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over21c1,598$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over44c1,379$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.0413347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c1,316$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48717128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c1,232$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over37c1,122$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.192222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4847851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over40c1,022$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.237936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under63c1,005$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over2c944.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…ac64backed Under63c878$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c760.05$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c654.4$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.921,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2229056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over22c549.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.59423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under60c548.32$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.419660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over39c540.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.717439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under57c527.44$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over14c499.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c480$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.412445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c451.78$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2269750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under57c355$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.158347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c337$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2811741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over32c299.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5412821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under73c283.27$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3319865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c279.46$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c253.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.091,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under57c250.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.694242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dac…0a80backed Over45c248.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under57c219.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.35139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c204.07$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5175451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under64c202.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.785461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under63c184.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3512159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under63c178.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9122658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under57c160.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.167358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under60c150.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.151,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over12c136.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over44c133$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.95650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Over37c130.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.96349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over38c128.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7610843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over44c113$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.729050%45 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over45c110.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.755944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under57c107.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.582751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under63c105$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.857661.8%47 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over15c104.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5837348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under66c102.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4415344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c95.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Over14c85.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.531827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over44c77.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over27c75.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.598040%32 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over45c73.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.192133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over35c73.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4610554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under71c72.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.622760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1822456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc59c…6b58backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under57c64.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under64c63.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.820857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Under57c60.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.951675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…c775backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.723956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Under64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over37c48.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under64c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.128446.4%39 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a54…2418backed Over44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over44c43.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.318846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under63c43.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8444039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under78c42.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5412052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.