TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
RCD Espanyol de Barcelonaof Athletic Club, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,391 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b7…48d4backed Athletic Club4c2,278$100 inLost-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bf…9ef5backed Athletic Club5c1,577$71 inLost-$70.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b8…afb4backed Athletic Club5c1,390$63 inLost-$62.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89af…8077backed Athletic Club5c1,376$62 inLost-$61.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c62…2ff7backed Athletic Club5c1,344$60 inLost-$60.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7cd…71aabacked Athletic Club5c1,334$60 inLost-$60.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f8…862abacked Athletic Club5c1,333$60 inLost-$59.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3c…fb81backed Athletic Club5c1,298$58 inLost-$58.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…4e23backed Athletic Club5c1,258$57 inLost-$56.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d4…4f8abacked Athletic Club5c1,146$52 inLost-$51.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0640…f43cbacked Athletic Club6c1,100$64 inLost-$63.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5703…82b3backed Athletic Club6c974$56 inLost-$56.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…19a1backed Athletic Club6c960$56 inLost-$55.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff3e…8c4bbacked Athletic Club6c955$55 inLost-$55.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865e…f2d4backed Athletic Club6c945$55 inLost-$54.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…122cbacked Athletic Club6c936$54 inLost-$54.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d2…4baabacked Athletic Club4c920$39 inLost-$38.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c5…4b16backed Athletic Club6c907$53 inLost-$52.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Athletic Club4c355.56$14 inLost-$14.1312821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.