Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6921558054a5b547ac5dab7d99432e0f52d2ae9d605b8d7f6ff462d1768c906b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 3,307$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.98 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 60c | 1,260$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.6 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 10c | 919.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed No | 10c | 905.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 10c | 899.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked No | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 60c | 638.33$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 598$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Yes | 61c | 549.32$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 59c | 467.89$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Yes | 61c | 459.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 457.48$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 59c | 442.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 26c | 424.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 414.86$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 405.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 42c | 339.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 333.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 57c | 324.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 39c | 254.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 59c | 202.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Yes | 60c | 201.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 40c | 199.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…c19ebacked No | 45c | 189.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…ee46backed Yes | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 13c | 171.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Yes | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 62c | 137.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…c457backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 56c | 121.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 111.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 43c | 102.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 102.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…9136backed Yes | 58c | 95.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f63…642dbacked Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 21c | 88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…48ccbacked Yes | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3d…4ab3backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 37c | 66.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…ed7ebacked No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 59c | 53.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 40c | 43.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 40c | 42.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f3…3a31backed Yes | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 60c | 39.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…c5c0backed No | 40c | 37.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed No | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4633…48f1backed Yes | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…509fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 40c | 33.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…84dabacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…b4c4backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827c…fc72backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…7626backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…8ac5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 39c | 25.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962f…aab8backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 61c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…1ba1backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…516fbacked Yes | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.