Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e48b79ef512ccf4e15e29231b38e165372c0473f22151015c303573fa2613d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aston Villa FCof Manchester City FC, Aston Villa FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 48,006$26,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,260.65 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 17,000$7,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815.68 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Aston Villa FC | 43c | 14,619$6,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,344.27 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 14,084$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,605.5 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aston Villa FC | 54c | 13,826$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Manchester City FC | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Aston Villa FC | 51c | 8,747$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.51 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aston Villa FC | 50c | 8,408$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.67 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 6,400$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.99 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 5,737$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.72 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Manchester City FC | 58c | 5,144$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.52 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Aston Villa FC | 50c | 4,977$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.64 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Manchester City FC | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Aston Villa FC | 45c | 3,858$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 3,691$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.64 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Aston Villa FC | 44c | 3,610$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Aston Villa FC | 49c | 2,923$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.96 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Aston Villa FC | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aston Villa FC | 54c | 2,567$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.04 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC | 51c | 2,212$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Manchester City FC | 50c | 2,118$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.82 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 2,058$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.78 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Manchester City FC | 50c | 2,046$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.08 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 2,028$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.6 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Aston Villa FC | 54c | 1,876$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.9 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 1,868$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.06 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Aston Villa FC | 42c | 1,797$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Aston Villa FC | 43c | 1,491$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.87 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Aston Villa FC | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 1,214$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.56 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 1,182$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.02 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Aston Villa FC | 47c | 1,158$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.79 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…bc8ebacked Aston Villa FC | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 1,094$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.66 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 1,045$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Aston Villa FC | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 1,003$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.21 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Aston Villa FC | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Aston Villa FC | 51c | 939.1$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.37 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…bcc2backed Aston Villa FC | 42c | 875$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Manchester City FC | 50c | 820.18$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 787.04$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Manchester City FC | 48c | 697.29$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.7 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Aston Villa FC | 48c | 640$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 624$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Aston Villa FC | 45c | 583.33$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 580.36$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Aston Villa FC | 51c | 574.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 558.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Aston Villa FC | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aston Villa FC | 54c | 522.67$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Aston Villa FC | 43c | 509.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e1…f4f9backed Manchester City FC | 63c | 487.41$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Aston Villa FC | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Aston Villa FC | 42c | 470.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 468.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Aston Villa FC | 44c | 447.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Manchester City FC | 60c | 440.84$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.81 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Aston Villa FC | 52c | 412.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 381.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Aston Villa FC | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 367.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Manchester City FC | 56c | 358.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 346.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…07a3backed Aston Villa FC | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Aston Villa FC | 51c | 329.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…624cbacked Manchester City FC | 47c | 324.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…69c9backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 319.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aston Villa FC | 49c | 312.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Manchester City FC | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 300.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1f…64e3backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Aston Villa FC | 45c | 297.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…3515backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 285.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Aston Villa FC | 50c | 281.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 47c | 277.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Aston Villa FC | 51c | 272.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Aston Villa FC | 55c | 256.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Aston Villa FC | 49c | 241.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Aston Villa FC | 47c | 227.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Aston Villa FC | 45c | 224.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 217.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Aston Villa FC | 51c | 206.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Manchester City FC | 50c | 201.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Manchester City FC | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Manchester City FC | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Manchester City FC | 49c | 195.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Manchester City FC | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.